SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Magdeburg: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes 1. FC Magdeburg the pick at 44% for SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Magdeburg. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
SV Darmstadt 98 face 1. FC Magdeburg on 31 October 2026 at Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor, Darmstadt. 1. FC Magdeburg are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This matchday 10 fixture in 2. Bundesliga is listed as SV Darmstadt 98 - 1. FC Magdeburg. Kick-off is 12:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
SV Darmstadt 98: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (6 scored and 10 conceded in six matches, 1.0 and 1.67 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.8 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -10.
1. FC Magdeburg: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 17 conceded in six matches, 2.0 and 2.83 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 60.3 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +8.
Side by side
| Statistic | SV Darmstadt 98 | 1. FC Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 5th |
| Goal difference | -10 | +8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLWW | LWLWD |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 5 | 11 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.0 / 1.67 | 2.0 / 2.83 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.33 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 45.8 | 60.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 29% | 44% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: SV Darmstadt 98 45.8 versus 1. FC Magdeburg 60.3, a gap of 14.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 13 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans 1. FC Magdeburg's way at 49%.
The call
The model edges towards 1. FC Magdeburg at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: SV Darmstadt 98 or 1. FC Magdeburg?
1. FC Magdeburg, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 29% SV Darmstadt 98, 27% the draw and 44% 1. FC Magdeburg.
When and where is SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Magdeburg being played?
31 October 2026 at Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor, Darmstadt, kick-off 12:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between SV Darmstadt 98 and 1. FC Magdeburg?
1. FC Magdeburg 1-1 SV Darmstadt 98 on 13 March 2026.
What is the recent form of SV Darmstadt 98 and 1. FC Magdeburg?
SV Darmstadt 98 have taken 10 points from their last five (WDLWW), 1. FC Magdeburg 7 from theirs (LWLWD). Most recently SV Darmstadt 98 took a 2-0 win away at SV Elversberg and 1. FC Magdeburg a 1-6 defeat away at Bayern München.
How many goals are expected in SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 0.80 for SV Darmstadt 98 and 2.20 for 1. FC Magdeburg. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.