SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes SpVgg Greuther Fürth the pick at 48% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Holstein Kiel travel to SpVgg Greuther Fürth on 1 November 2026 at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth. SpVgg Greuther Fürth are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This matchday 10 fixture in 2. Bundesliga is listed as SpVgg Greuther Fürth - Holstein Kiel. Kick-off is 12:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
SpVgg Greuther Fürth: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 23 conceded in 18 matches, 1.39 and 1.28 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.7 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -4.
Holstein Kiel: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 27 conceded in 16 matches, 1.31 and 1.69 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.4 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 14th |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLLD | DWDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 11 | 7 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 18 | 16 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.39 / 1.28 | 1.31 / 1.69 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.39 | 1.12 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 40.7 | 41.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 26% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans SpVgg Greuther Fürth's way at 57%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to SpVgg Greuther Fürth at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Holstein Kiel's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts SpVgg Greuther Fürth's way, especially at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Holstein Kiel?
SpVgg Greuther Fürth, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% SpVgg Greuther Fürth, 26% the draw and 26% Holstein Kiel.
When and where is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel being played?
1 November 2026 at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth, kick-off 12:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Holstein Kiel?
Holstein Kiel 1-2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth on 31 January 2026.
What is the recent form of SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Holstein Kiel?
SpVgg Greuther Fürth have taken 4 points from their last five (LWLLD), Holstein Kiel 8 from theirs (DWDLW). Most recently SpVgg Greuther Fürth took a 0-3 defeat away at VfL Osnabrück and Holstein Kiel a 1-1 draw at home to 1899 Hoffenheim.
How many goals are expected in SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 0.80 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1.60 for Holstein Kiel. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.