Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Hertha BSC the pick at 51% for Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
VfL Wolfsburg travel to Hertha BSC on 7 November 2026 at Olympiastadion, Berlin. Hertha BSC are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 51%. This matchday 11 fixture in 2. Bundesliga is listed as Hertha BSC - VfL Wolfsburg. Kick-off is 19:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Hertha BSC: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one win and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 2 conceded in six matches, 2.0 and 0.33 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 72.1 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +15.
VfL Wolfsburg: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 10 conceded in seven matches, 1.71 and 1.43 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 64.4 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +11.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Hertha BSC | VfL Wolfsburg |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 3rd |
| Goal difference | +15 | +11 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWDW | WLDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 1 | 12 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 4 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.0 / 0.33 | 1.71 / 1.43 |
| Points per game (2026) | 3.0 | 1.29 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 72.1 | 64.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 51% | 24% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Hertha BSC 72.1 versus VfL Wolfsburg 64.4, a gap of 7.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 64%.
- First goal: Leans Hertha BSC's way at 64%.
The call
The model tilts to Hertha BSC at 51%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Hertha BSC's way, especially at Olympiastadion.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Hertha BSC or VfL Wolfsburg?
Hertha BSC, with an implied win probability of roughly 51%. The full split is 51% Hertha BSC, 25% the draw and 24% VfL Wolfsburg.
When and where is Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg being played?
7 November 2026 at Olympiastadion, Berlin, kick-off 19:30 UTC.
Have Hertha BSC and VfL Wolfsburg met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Hertha BSC and VfL Wolfsburg?
Hertha BSC have taken 13 points from their last five (WWWDW), VfL Wolfsburg 8 from theirs (WLDWD). Most recently Hertha BSC took a 3-0 win away at 1. FC Kaiserslautern and VfL Wolfsburg a 2-0 win at home to VfL Osnabrück.
How many goals are expected in Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 2.20 for Hertha BSC and 1.60 for VfL Wolfsburg. It rates over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 64%, so its call is yes.