1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes 1. FC Magdeburg the pick at 48% for 1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
1. FC Magdeburg host FC St. Pauli on 8 November 2026 at Avnet-Arena, Magdeburg. 1. FC Magdeburg are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This matchday 11 fixture in 2. Bundesliga is listed as 1. FC Magdeburg - FC St. Pauli. Kick-off is 12:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
1. FC Magdeburg: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 24 conceded in 14 matches, 1.93 and 1.71 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 53.7 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +8.
FC St. Pauli: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three draws before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 56 conceded in 32 matches, 0.75 and 1.75 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.0 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of 0.
Side by side
| Statistic | 1. FC Magdeburg | FC St. Pauli |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 8th |
| Goal difference | +8 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLWLW | LDDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 10 | 5 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 14 | 32 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.93 / 1.71 | 0.75 / 1.75 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.36 | 0.72 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 53.7 | 45.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 26% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: 1. FC Magdeburg 53.7 versus FC St. Pauli 45.0, a gap of 8.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans 1. FC Magdeburg's way at 57%.
The call
The model tilts to 1. FC Magdeburg at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. 1. FC Magdeburg's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts 1. FC Magdeburg's way, especially at Avnet-Arena.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: 1. FC Magdeburg or FC St. Pauli?
1. FC Magdeburg, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% 1. FC Magdeburg, 27% the draw and 26% FC St. Pauli.
When and where is 1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli being played?
8 November 2026 at Avnet-Arena, Magdeburg, kick-off 12:30 UTC.
Have 1. FC Magdeburg and FC St. Pauli met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of 1. FC Magdeburg and FC St. Pauli?
1. FC Magdeburg have taken 7 points from their last five (DLWLW), FC St. Pauli 6 from theirs (LDDWD). Most recently 1. FC Magdeburg took a 1-1 draw away at SV Darmstadt 98 and FC St. Pauli a 1-3 defeat at home to 1. FC Nürnberg.
How many goals are expected in 1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 2.20 for 1. FC Magdeburg and 1.00 for FC St. Pauli. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.