Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Dynamo Dresden the pick at 48% for Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Dynamo Dresden face SpVgg Greuther Fürth on 6 November 2026 at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden. Dynamo Dresden are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This matchday 11 fixture in 2. Bundesliga is listed as Dynamo Dresden - SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Dynamo Dresden: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 12 conceded in seven matches, 1.14 and 1.71 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.3 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -8.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (5 scored and 6 conceded in six matches, 0.83 and 1.0 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.6 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Dynamo Dresden | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 9th |
| Goal difference | -8 | -3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLWD | WLWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 6 | 4 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.14 / 1.71 | 0.83 / 1.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.0 | 1.33 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 36.3 | 47.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 27% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Dynamo Dresden 36.3 versus SpVgg Greuther Fürth 47.6, a gap of 11.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Dynamo Dresden's way at 56%.
The call
The model tilts to Dynamo Dresden at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Dynamo Dresden's way, especially at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Dynamo Dresden or SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Dynamo Dresden, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Dynamo Dresden, 25% the draw and 27% SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
When and where is Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth being played?
6 November 2026 at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Have Dynamo Dresden and SpVgg Greuther Fürth met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Dynamo Dresden and SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Dynamo Dresden have taken 7 points from their last five (LWLWD), SpVgg Greuther Fürth 6 from theirs (WLWLL). Most recently Dynamo Dresden took a 1-2 defeat away at Hannover 96 and SpVgg Greuther Fürth a 1-0 win at home to Holstein Kiel.
How many goals are expected in Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 1.40 for Dynamo Dresden and 0.80 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.