Feirense vs Benfica B: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Feirense the pick at 43% for Feirense vs Benfica B. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Feirense face Benfica B on 24 October 2026 at Estádio Marcolino de Castro, Santa Maria da Feira. Feirense are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This matchday 8 fixture in Segunda Liga is listed as Feirense - Benfica B. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Feirense: they come in on five defeats in a row. That is no wins, no draws and five defeats from the last five, worth 0 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (15 scored and 18 conceded in 16 matches, 0.94 and 1.12 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 23.0 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -8.
Benfica B: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 22 conceded in 19 matches, 1.11 and 1.16 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.1 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +3.
Side by side
| Statistic | Feirense | Benfica B |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 5th |
| Goal difference | -8 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLL | WWLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 0 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 9 | 5 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 19 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.94 / 1.12 | 1.11 / 1.16 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.44 | 1.37 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 23.0 | 49.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 43% | 28% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Feirense 23.0 versus Benfica B 49.1, a gap of 26.1, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: 13 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 51%.
- First goal: Leans Feirense's way at 51%.
The call
The model edges towards Feirense at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Benfica B's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Feirense's way, especially at Estádio Marcolino de Castro.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Feirense or Benfica B?
Feirense, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 43% Feirense, 29% the draw and 28% Benfica B.
When and where is Feirense vs Benfica B being played?
24 October 2026 at Estádio Marcolino de Castro, Santa Maria da Feira, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Feirense and Benfica B?
Benfica B 3-0 Feirense on 09 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Feirense and Benfica B?
Feirense have taken 0 points from their last five (LLLLL), Benfica B 7 from theirs (WWLLD). Most recently Feirense took a 1-2 defeat away at Farense and Benfica B a 1-0 win at home to Felgueiras 1932.
How many goals are expected in Feirense vs Benfica B?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 0.80 for Feirense and 0.80 for Benfica B. It rates over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 51%, so its call is yes.