Sporting CP B vs Portimonense — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Sporting CP B the pick at 39% for Sporting CP B vs Portimonense. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Portimonense travel to Sporting CP B on 24 October 2026 at CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochet. Sporting CP B are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This matchday 8 fixture in Segunda Liga is listed as Sporting CP B - Portimonense. Kick-off is 10:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Sporting CP B: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (10 scored and 17 conceded in 16 matches, 0.62 and 1.06 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.0 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +4.
Portimonense: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 18 conceded in 15 matches, 1.13 and 1.2 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.1 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Sporting CP B | Portimonense |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 11th |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLWW | WWWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 6 | 5 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 15 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.62 / 1.06 | 1.13 / 1.2 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.62 | 1.4 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 56.0 | 38.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 39% | 32% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Sporting CP B 56.0 versus Portimonense 38.1, a gap of 17.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams to score at 45%.
- First goal: Leans Sporting CP B's way at 50%.
The call
The model edges towards Sporting CP B at 39%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Sporting CP B's way, especially at CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sporting CP B or Portimonense?
Sporting CP B, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 39% Sporting CP B, 29% the draw and 32% Portimonense.
When and where is Sporting CP B vs Portimonense being played?
24 October 2026 at CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochet, kick-off 10:00 UTC.
Have Sporting CP B and Portimonense met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Sporting CP B and Portimonense?
Sporting CP B have taken 12 points from their last five (WWLWW), Portimonense 9 from theirs (WWWLL). Most recently Sporting CP B took a 2-0 win away at Vizela and Portimonense a 2-1 win away at Florgrade.
How many goals are expected in Sporting CP B vs Portimonense?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 1.00 for Sporting CP B and 0.60 for Portimonense. It rates over 2.5 goals at 41%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 45%, so its call is no.