Torreense vs Amarante match summary and prediction — Segunda Liga
Our model makes Torreense the pick at 63% for Torreense vs Amarante. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Torreense face Amarante on 26 October 2026 at Estadio Manuel Marques, Torres Vedras. Torreense are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 63%. This matchday 8 fixture in Segunda Liga is listed as Torreense - Amarante. Kick-off is 20:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Torreense: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one draw before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored four and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.9 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -3.
Amarante: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored eight and conceded ten, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.7 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Torreense | Amarante |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 16th |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLWD | LLWDL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 8 | 8 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 40.9 | 40.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 63% | 14% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.50, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Torreense's way at 63%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Torreense at 63%, a gap of 39 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Torreense's way, especially at Estadio Manuel Marques.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Torreense or Amarante?
Torreense, with an implied win probability of roughly 63%. The full split is 63% Torreense, 23% the draw and 14% Amarante.
When and where is Torreense vs Amarante being played?
26 October 2026 at Estadio Manuel Marques, Torres Vedras, kick-off 20:45 UTC.
Have Torreense and Amarante met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Torreense and Amarante?
Torreense have taken 4 points from their last five (LLLWD), Amarante 4 from theirs (LLWDL). Most recently Torreense took a 1-4 defeat away at Ferencvarosi TC and Amarante a 2-3 defeat away at Academica.
How many goals are expected in Torreense vs Amarante?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.50 — 1.00 for Torreense and 1.50 for Amarante. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.