Amarante vs FC Porto B: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Amarante the pick at 45% for Amarante vs FC Porto B. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
FC Porto B travel to Amarante on 31 October 2026 at Municipal de Amarante, Amarante. Amarante are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 9 fixture in Segunda Liga is listed as Amarante - FC Porto B. Kick-off is 11:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Amarante: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one draw before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored seven and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.1 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -5.
FC Porto B: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored five and conceded ten, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 39.7 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -8.
Side by side
| Statistic | Amarante | FC Porto B |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 15th |
| Goal difference | -5 | -8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLWD | DWDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 8 | 5 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 37.1 | 39.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 29% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Amarante 37.1 versus FC Porto B 39.7, a gap of 2.6, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 49%.
- First goal: Leans Amarante's way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Amarante at 45%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. FC Porto B's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Amarante's way, especially at Municipal de Amarante.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Amarante or FC Porto B?
Amarante, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Amarante, 26% the draw and 29% FC Porto B.
When and where is Amarante vs FC Porto B being played?
31 October 2026 at Municipal de Amarante, Amarante, kick-off 11:00 UTC.
Have Amarante and FC Porto B met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Amarante and FC Porto B?
Amarante have taken 4 points from their last five (LLLWD), FC Porto B 5 from theirs (DWDLL). Most recently Amarante took a 0-1 defeat away at Torreense and FC Porto B a 1-1 draw at home to União de Leiria.
How many goals are expected in Amarante vs FC Porto B?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 1.00 for Amarante and 1.00 for FC Porto B. It rates over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 49%, so its call is no.