Benfica B vs Chaves match summary and prediction — Segunda Liga
There is barely anything between Benfica B and Chaves on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Benfica B face Chaves on 31 October 2026 at Caixa Futebol Campus, Lisbon. Chaves are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 37%. This matchday 9 fixture in Segunda Liga is listed as Benfica B - Chaves. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Benfica B: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 22 conceded in 19 matches, 1.11 and 1.16 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.1 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +3.
Chaves: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 24 conceded in 15 matches, 1.27 and 1.6 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.6 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -7.
Side by side
| Statistic | Benfica B | Chaves |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 14th |
| Goal difference | +3 | -7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWLL | WWDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 3 | 5 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 19 | 15 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.11 / 1.16 | 1.27 / 1.6 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.37 | 1.07 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.1 | 46.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 35% | 37% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Benfica B 49.1 versus Chaves 46.6, a gap of 2.5, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Benfica B's way at 47%.
The call
The model does not commit. Chaves is the nominal pick at 37%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Benfica B or Chaves?
Chaves, with an implied win probability of roughly 37%. The full split is 35% Benfica B, 28% the draw and 37% Chaves.
When and where is Benfica B vs Chaves being played?
31 October 2026 at Caixa Futebol Campus, Lisbon, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
Have Benfica B and Chaves met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Benfica B and Chaves?
Benfica B have taken 7 points from their last five (DWWLL), Chaves 7 from theirs (WWDLL). Most recently Benfica B took a 0-0 draw away at Feirense and Chaves a 2-1 win at home to Vizela.
How many goals are expected in Benfica B vs Chaves?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 0.80 for Benfica B and 1.60 for Chaves. It rates over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.