Leixoes vs Sporting CP B — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Leixoes the pick at 54% for Leixoes vs Sporting CP B. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Sporting CP B travel to Leixoes on 31 October 2026 at Estadio do Mar, Matosinhos. Leixoes are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 54%. This matchday 9 fixture in Segunda Liga is listed as Leixoes - Sporting CP B. Kick-off is 15:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Leixoes: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one draw before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 25 conceded in 18 matches, 1.56 and 1.39 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.6 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -3.
Sporting CP B: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (10 scored and 17 conceded in 16 matches, 0.62 and 1.06 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 66.8 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +7.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Leixoes | Sporting CP B |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -3 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLWD | WWWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 7 | 12 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 18 | 16 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.56 / 1.39 | 0.62 / 1.06 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.72 | 0.62 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 47.6 | 66.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 54% | 19% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Leixoes 47.6 versus Sporting CP B 66.8, a gap of 19.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 51%.
- First goal: Leans Leixoes' way at 58%.
The call
The model tilts to Leixoes at 54%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Sporting CP B's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Leixoes's way, especially at Estadio do Mar.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Leixoes or Sporting CP B?
Leixoes, with an implied win probability of roughly 54%. The full split is 54% Leixoes, 27% the draw and 19% Sporting CP B.
When and where is Leixoes vs Sporting CP B being played?
31 October 2026 at Estadio do Mar, Matosinhos, kick-off 15:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Leixoes and Sporting CP B?
Sporting CP B 0-1 Leixoes on 28 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Leixoes and Sporting CP B?
Leixoes have taken 4 points from their last five (LLLWD), Sporting CP B 12 from theirs (WWWWL). Most recently Leixoes took a 0-4 defeat away at Academica and Sporting CP B a 2-1 win away at Leicester City U21.
How many goals are expected in Leixoes vs Sporting CP B?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.00 for Leixoes and 1.60 for Sporting CP B. It rates over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 51%, so its call is yes.