Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Feirense and Lusitânia Lourosa on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Feirense host Lusitânia Lourosa on 8 November 2026 at Estadio Marcolino de Castro, Santa Maria da Feira. Lusitânia Lourosa are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 36%. This matchday 10 fixture in Segunda Liga is listed as Feirense - Lusitânia Lourosa. Kick-off is 11:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Feirense: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (15 scored and 18 conceded in 16 matches, 0.94 and 1.12 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 26.1 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -9.
Lusitânia Lourosa: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 24 conceded in 17 matches, 1.18 and 1.41 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.8 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +7.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Feirense | Lusitânia Lourosa |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | -9 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLLL | DDWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 1 / 5 | 9 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.94 / 1.12 | 1.18 / 1.41 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.44 | 1.18 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 26.1 | 56.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 34% | 36% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Feirense 26.1 versus Lusitânia Lourosa 56.8, a gap of 30.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 15 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams to score at 51%.
- First goal: Leans Lusitânia Lourosa's way at 46%.
The call
The model does not commit. Lusitânia Lourosa is the nominal pick at 36%, but the three results sit close to even. Lusitânia Lourosa's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Feirense or Lusitânia Lourosa?
Lusitânia Lourosa, with an implied win probability of roughly 36%. The full split is 34% Feirense, 30% the draw and 36% Lusitânia Lourosa.
When and where is Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa being played?
8 November 2026 at Estadio Marcolino de Castro, Santa Maria da Feira, kick-off 11:00 UTC.
Have Feirense and Lusitânia Lourosa met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Feirense and Lusitânia Lourosa?
Feirense have taken 1 points from their last five (LDLLL), Lusitânia Lourosa 9 from theirs (DDWDW). Most recently Feirense took a 0-1 defeat away at Penafiel and Lusitânia Lourosa a 1-1 draw at home to Farense.
How many goals are expected in Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 0.20 for Feirense and 1.80 for Lusitânia Lourosa. It rates over 2.5 goals at 40%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 51%, so its call is yes.