Felgueiras 1932 vs Leixoes — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Felgueiras 1932 the pick at 38% for Felgueiras 1932 vs Leixoes. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Leixoes travel to Felgueiras 1932 on 7 November 2026 at Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos, Felgueiras. Felgueiras 1932 are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This matchday 10 fixture in Segunda Liga is listed as Felgueiras 1932 - Leixoes. Kick-off is 11:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Felgueiras 1932: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 15 conceded in 17 matches, 1.06 and 0.88 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 27.6 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -3.
Leixoes: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one win before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 25 conceded in 18 matches, 1.56 and 1.39 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.3 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Felgueiras 1932 | Leixoes |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 13th |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWLW | LLLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 6 | 6 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.06 / 0.88 | 1.56 / 1.39 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.53 | 1.72 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 27.6 | 37.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 38% | 31% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Felgueiras 1932 27.6 versus Leixoes 37.3, a gap of 9.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.80, over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 49%.
- First goal: Leans Felgueiras 1932's way at 47%.
The call
The model edges towards Felgueiras 1932 at 38%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Felgueiras 1932's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Felgueiras 1932's way, especially at Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Felgueiras 1932 or Leixoes?
Felgueiras 1932, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 38% Felgueiras 1932, 31% the draw and 31% Leixoes.
When and where is Felgueiras 1932 vs Leixoes being played?
7 November 2026 at Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos, Felgueiras, kick-off 11:00 UTC.
Have Felgueiras 1932 and Leixoes met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Felgueiras 1932 and Leixoes?
Felgueiras 1932 have taken 7 points from their last five (LDWLW), Leixoes 3 from theirs (LLLLW). Most recently Felgueiras 1932 took a 2-3 defeat away at Tondela and Leixoes a 1-2 defeat at home to Sporting CP B.
How many goals are expected in Felgueiras 1932 vs Leixoes?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.80 — 1.00 for Felgueiras 1932 and 0.80 for Leixoes. It rates over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 49%, so its call is no.