Farense vs Benfica B: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Farense the pick at 48% for Farense vs Benfica B. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Farense face Benfica B on 8 November 2026. Farense are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This matchday 10 fixture in Segunda Liga is listed as Farense - Benfica B. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Farense: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (15 scored and 17 conceded in 20 matches, 0.75 and 0.85 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.7 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +4.
Benfica B: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 22 conceded in 19 matches, 1.11 and 1.16 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 59.6 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +5.
Side by side
| Statistic | Farense | Benfica B |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 4th |
| Goal difference | +4 | +5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLWWW | WDWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 6 | 7 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 20 | 19 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.75 / 0.85 | 1.11 / 1.16 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.05 | 1.37 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 52.7 | 59.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 25% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Farense 52.7 versus Benfica B 59.6, a gap of 6.9, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans Farense's way at 53%.
The call
The model tilts to Farense at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Farense or Benfica B?
Farense, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Farense, 27% the draw and 25% Benfica B.
When and where is Farense vs Benfica B being played?
8 November 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Farense and Benfica B?
Benfica B 1-0 Farense on 22 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Farense and Benfica B?
Farense have taken 10 points from their last five (DLWWW), Benfica B 10 from theirs (WDWWL). Most recently Farense took a 1-1 draw away at Lusitânia Lourosa and Benfica B a 3-1 win at home to Chaves.
How many goals are expected in Farense vs Benfica B?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 0.80 for Farense and 1.40 for Benfica B. It rates over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is no.