Sporting CP B vs Tondela: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Sporting CP B and Tondela on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Sporting CP B host Tondela on 8 November 2026 at CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochete. Sporting CP B are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This matchday 10 fixture in Segunda Liga is listed as Sporting CP B - Tondela. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Sporting CP B: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (10 scored and 17 conceded in 16 matches, 0.62 and 1.06 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 67.0 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +8.
Tondela: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 26 conceded in 17 matches, 1.0 and 1.53 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 65.5 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Sporting CP B | Tondela |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 7th |
| Goal difference | +8 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWW | WLWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 15 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 13 / 4 | 12 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.62 / 1.06 | 1.0 / 1.53 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.62 | 1.06 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 67.0 | 65.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 39% | 34% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Sporting CP B 67.0 versus Tondela 65.5, a gap of 1.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.20, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Sporting CP B's way at 48%.
The call
The model does not commit. Sporting CP B is the nominal pick at 39%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Sporting CP B's way, especially at CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sporting CP B or Tondela?
Sporting CP B, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 39% Sporting CP B, 27% the draw and 34% Tondela.
When and where is Sporting CP B vs Tondela being played?
8 November 2026 at CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochete, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
Have Sporting CP B and Tondela met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Sporting CP B and Tondela?
Sporting CP B have taken 15 points from their last five (WWWWW), Tondela 12 from theirs (WLWWW). Most recently Sporting CP B took a 2-1 win away at Leixoes and Tondela a 3-2 win at home to Felgueiras 1932.
How many goals are expected in Sporting CP B vs Tondela?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.20 — 2.00 for Sporting CP B and 2.20 for Tondela. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.