Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932 match summary and prediction — Segunda Liga
Our model makes Amarante the pick at 44% for Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Amarante face Felgueiras 1932 on 15 November 2026 at Amarante Stadium, Amarante. Amarante are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This matchday 11 fixture in Segunda Liga is listed as Amarante - Felgueiras 1932. Kick-off is 11:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Amarante: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded eight, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.7 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -4.
Felgueiras 1932: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored eight and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 30.9 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -3.
Side by side
| Statistic | Amarante | Felgueiras 1932 |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 15th |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWLLL | DLDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 8 | 8 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 40.7 | 30.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 44% | 29% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Amarante 40.7 versus Felgueiras 1932 30.9, a gap of 9.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 51%.
- First goal: Leans Amarante's way at 49%.
The call
The model edges towards Amarante at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Amarante's way, especially at Amarante Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Amarante or Felgueiras 1932?
Amarante, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 44% Amarante, 27% the draw and 29% Felgueiras 1932.
When and where is Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932 being played?
15 November 2026 at Amarante Stadium, Amarante, kick-off 11:00 UTC.
Have Amarante and Felgueiras 1932 met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Amarante and Felgueiras 1932?
Amarante have taken 4 points from their last five (DWLLL), Felgueiras 1932 5 from theirs (DLDWL). Most recently Amarante took a 1-1 draw away at Academica and Felgueiras 1932 a 3-3 draw at home to Leixoes.
How many goals are expected in Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.20 for Amarante and 1.60 for Felgueiras 1932. It rates over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 51%, so its call is yes.