Portimonense vs Academica — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Portimonense the pick at 49% for Portimonense vs Academica. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Portimonense face Academica on 15 November 2026. Portimonense are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 49%. This matchday 11 fixture in Segunda Liga is listed as Portimonense - Academica. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Portimonense: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (2 scored and 6 conceded in six matches, 0.33 and 1.0 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.6 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -3.
Academica: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 11 conceded in six matches, 1.83 and 1.83 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.1 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +3.
Side by side
| Statistic | Portimonense | Academica |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 6th |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLWW | DLWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 5 | 11 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.33 / 1.0 | 1.83 / 1.83 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 47.6 | 49.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 49% | 24% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Portimonense 47.6 versus Academica 49.1, a gap of 1.5, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Portimonense's way at 56%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Portimonense at 49%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Portimonense or Academica?
Portimonense, with an implied win probability of roughly 49%. The full split is 49% Portimonense, 27% the draw and 24% Academica.
When and where is Portimonense vs Academica being played?
15 November 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Portimonense and Academica met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Portimonense and Academica?
Portimonense have taken 10 points from their last five (WDLWW), Academica 10 from theirs (DLWWW). Most recently Portimonense took a 1-0 win away at FC Porto B and Academica a 1-1 draw at home to Amarante.
How many goals are expected in Portimonense vs Academica?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 0.20 for Portimonense and 1.40 for Academica. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.