Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Arsenal Tula the pick at 42% for Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Arsenal Tula host KAMAZ on 24 October 2026 at Arsenal Stadium (Tula), Tula. Arsenal Tula are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This matchday 15 fixture in First League is listed as Arsenal Tula - KAMAZ. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Arsenal Tula: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded ten, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.6 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -11.
KAMAZ: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored seven and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.9 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -7.
Side by side
| Statistic | Arsenal Tula | KAMAZ |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 14th |
| Goal difference | -11 | -7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLWL | WDWDL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 10 | 7 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 35.6 | 49.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 42% | 35% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Arsenal Tula 35.6 versus KAMAZ 49.9, a gap of 14.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.13, over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams to score at 46%.
- First goal: Leans Arsenal Tula's way at 47%.
The call
The model edges towards Arsenal Tula at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Arsenal Tula's way, especially at Arsenal Stadium (Tula).
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Arsenal Tula or KAMAZ?
Arsenal Tula, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 42% Arsenal Tula, 23% the draw and 35% KAMAZ.
When and where is Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ being played?
24 October 2026 at Arsenal Stadium (Tula), Tula, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Arsenal Tula and KAMAZ met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Arsenal Tula and KAMAZ?
Arsenal Tula have taken 6 points from their last five (LWLWL), KAMAZ 8 from theirs (WDWDL). Most recently Arsenal Tula took a 0-2 defeat away at FC UFA and KAMAZ a 2-1 win at home to FK Neftekhimik.
How many goals are expected in Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.13 — 0.80 for Arsenal Tula and 0.33 for KAMAZ. It rates over 2.5 goals at 41%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 46%, so its call is no.