Tekstilshchik vs FC Sochi match summary and prediction — First League
There is barely anything between Tekstilshchik and FC Sochi on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
FC Sochi travel to Tekstilshchik on 24 October 2026 at Tekstilshchik Stadium, Ivanovo. Tekstilshchik are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 37%. This matchday 15 fixture in First League is listed as Tekstilshchik - FC Sochi. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Tekstilshchik: they come in on the back of a win, following four defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded ten, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.3 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -12.
FC Sochi: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored five and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 60.6 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +9.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Tekstilshchik | FC Sochi |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -12 | +9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLLL | WWDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 10 | 5 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 35.3 | 60.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 37% | 36% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Tekstilshchik 35.3 versus FC Sochi 60.6, a gap of 25.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: 15 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams to score at 48%.
- First goal: Leans FC Sochi's way at 47%.
The call
The model does not commit. Tekstilshchik is the nominal pick at 37%, but the three results sit close to even. FC Sochi's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Tekstilshchik's way, especially at Tekstilshchik Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Tekstilshchik or FC Sochi?
Tekstilshchik, with an implied win probability of roughly 37%. The full split is 37% Tekstilshchik, 28% the draw and 36% FC Sochi.
When and where is Tekstilshchik vs FC Sochi being played?
24 October 2026 at Tekstilshchik Stadium, Ivanovo, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Tekstilshchik and FC Sochi met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Tekstilshchik and FC Sochi?
Tekstilshchik have taken 3 points from their last five (WLLLL), FC Sochi 10 from theirs (WWDWL). Most recently Tekstilshchik took a 2-1 win at home to Chelyabinsk and FC Sochi a 1-0 win away at Rotor Volgograd.
How many goals are expected in Tekstilshchik vs FC Sochi?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.40 for Tekstilshchik and 1.60 for FC Sochi. It rates over 2.5 goals at 40%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 48%, so its call is no.