KAMAZ vs Torpedo Moskva match summary and prediction — First League
Our model makes Torpedo Moskva the pick at 45% for KAMAZ vs Torpedo Moskva. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
KAMAZ face Torpedo Moskva on 1 November 2026 at Kamaz Stadium, Naberezhny. Torpedo Moskva are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 16 fixture in First League is listed as KAMAZ - Torpedo Moskva. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
KAMAZ: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Across those five they scored ten and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.7 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -8.
Torpedo Moskva: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored eight and conceded four, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 58.8 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +15.
Comparison data
| Statistic | KAMAZ | Torpedo Moskva |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | -8 | +15 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDWD | DWWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 9 | 8 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.7 | 58.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 31% | 45% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: KAMAZ 49.7 versus Torpedo Moskva 58.8, a gap of 9.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams to score at 48%.
- First goal: Leans Torpedo Moskva's way at 51%.
The call
The model tilts to Torpedo Moskva at 45%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: KAMAZ or Torpedo Moskva?
Torpedo Moskva, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 31% KAMAZ, 24% the draw and 45% Torpedo Moskva.
When and where is KAMAZ vs Torpedo Moskva being played?
1 November 2026 at Kamaz Stadium, Naberezhny, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have KAMAZ and Torpedo Moskva met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of KAMAZ and Torpedo Moskva?
KAMAZ have taken 8 points from their last five (LWDWD), Torpedo Moskva 11 from theirs (DWWWD). Most recently KAMAZ took a 3-4 defeat away at Arsenal Tula and Torpedo Moskva a 1-1 draw at home to Rotor Volgograd.
How many goals are expected in KAMAZ vs Torpedo Moskva?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.00 for KAMAZ and 1.60 for Torpedo Moskva. It rates over 2.5 goals at 40%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 48%, so its call is no.