FK Neftekhimik vs Ska-khabarovsk: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes FK Neftekhimik the pick at 46% for FK Neftekhimik vs Ska-khabarovsk. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Ska-khabarovsk travel to FK Neftekhimik on 31 October 2026 at Neftekhimik Stadium, Nizhnekamsk. FK Neftekhimik are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 16 fixture in First League is listed as FK Neftekhimik - Ska-khabarovsk. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
FK Neftekhimik: they come in on the back of a draw, following four defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored four and conceded nine, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 25.6 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -11.
Ska-khabarovsk: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Across those five they scored nine and conceded five, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.5 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -10.
Comparison data
| Statistic | FK Neftekhimik | Ska-khabarovsk |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 17th |
| Goal difference | -11 | -10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLLLL | WLWDD |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 9 | 9 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.6 | 42.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 27% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: FK Neftekhimik 25.6 versus Ska-khabarovsk 42.5, a gap of 16.9, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans FK Neftekhimik's way at 51%.
The call
The model tilts to FK Neftekhimik at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Ska-khabarovsk's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts FK Neftekhimik's way, especially at Neftekhimik Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FK Neftekhimik or Ska-khabarovsk?
FK Neftekhimik, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% FK Neftekhimik, 27% the draw and 27% Ska-khabarovsk.
When and where is FK Neftekhimik vs Ska-khabarovsk being played?
31 October 2026 at Neftekhimik Stadium, Nizhnekamsk, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have FK Neftekhimik and Ska-khabarovsk met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of FK Neftekhimik and Ska-khabarovsk?
FK Neftekhimik have taken 1 points from their last five (DLLLL), Ska-khabarovsk 8 from theirs (WLWDD). Most recently FK Neftekhimik took a 1-1 draw at home to Leningradets and Ska-khabarovsk a 3-0 win at home to Enisey.
How many goals are expected in FK Neftekhimik vs Ska-khabarovsk?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 1.40 for FK Neftekhimik and 2.00 for Ska-khabarovsk. It rates over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.