Volga Ulyanovsk vs Tekstilshchik: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Volga Ulyanovsk the pick at 47% for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Tekstilshchik. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Tekstilshchik travel to Volga Ulyanovsk on 31 October 2026 at Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk), Ulyanovsk. Volga Ulyanovsk are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This matchday 16 fixture in First League is listed as Volga Ulyanovsk - Tekstilshchik. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Volga Ulyanovsk: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored seven and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 58.1 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -1.
Tekstilshchik: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded eleven, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.8 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -14.
Side by side
| Statistic | Volga Ulyanovsk | Tekstilshchik |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 18th |
| Goal difference | -1 | -14 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWDDW | LWLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 4 | 6 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 58.1 | 34.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 47% | 22% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Volga Ulyanovsk 58.1 versus Tekstilshchik 34.8, a gap of 23.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 34% and both teams to score at 45%.
- First goal: Leans Volga Ulyanovsk's way at 52%.
The call
The model tilts to Volga Ulyanovsk at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Volga Ulyanovsk's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Volga Ulyanovsk's way, especially at Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk).
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Volga Ulyanovsk or Tekstilshchik?
Volga Ulyanovsk, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 47% Volga Ulyanovsk, 31% the draw and 22% Tekstilshchik.
When and where is Volga Ulyanovsk vs Tekstilshchik being played?
31 October 2026 at Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk), Ulyanovsk, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Volga Ulyanovsk and Tekstilshchik met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Volga Ulyanovsk and Tekstilshchik?
Volga Ulyanovsk have taken 11 points from their last five (WWDDW), Tekstilshchik 3 from theirs (LWLLL). Most recently Volga Ulyanovsk took a 1-0 win at home to Veles and Tekstilshchik a 1-3 defeat at home to FC Sochi.
How many goals are expected in Volga Ulyanovsk vs Tekstilshchik?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.20 for Volga Ulyanovsk and 1.40 for Tekstilshchik. It rates over 2.5 goals at 34%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 45%, so its call is no.