Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Shinnik Yaroslavl the pick at 45% for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Shinnik Yaroslavl host FC UFA on 7 November 2026 at Stadion Shinnik, Yaroslavl. Shinnik Yaroslavl are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 17 fixture in First League is listed as Shinnik Yaroslavl - FC UFA. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Shinnik Yaroslavl: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (10 scored and 7 conceded in seven matches, 1.43 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.4 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +3.
FC UFA: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (6 scored and 5 conceded in seven matches, 0.86 and 0.71 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.4 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Shinnik Yaroslavl | FC UFA |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 8th |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDLW | DLWLD |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 8 | 2 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.43 / 1.0 | 0.86 / 0.71 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.71 | 1.29 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 52.4 | 42.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 24% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Shinnik Yaroslavl 52.4 versus FC UFA 42.4, a gap of 10.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 39% and both teams to score at 47%.
- First goal: Leans Shinnik Yaroslavl's way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Shinnik Yaroslavl at 45%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Shinnik Yaroslavl's way, especially at Stadion Shinnik.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Shinnik Yaroslavl or FC UFA?
Shinnik Yaroslavl, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Shinnik Yaroslavl, 31% the draw and 24% FC UFA.
When and where is Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA being played?
7 November 2026 at Stadion Shinnik, Yaroslavl, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Shinnik Yaroslavl and FC UFA met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Shinnik Yaroslavl and FC UFA?
Shinnik Yaroslavl have taken 7 points from their last five (LWDLW), FC UFA 5 from theirs (DLWLD). Most recently Shinnik Yaroslavl took a 0-2 defeat away at Chelyabinsk and FC UFA a 0-0 draw away at Rotor Volgograd.
How many goals are expected in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 1.20 for Shinnik Yaroslavl and 0.80 for FC UFA. It rates over 2.5 goals at 39%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 47%, so its call is no.