Spartak Kostroma vs Nizhny Novgorod — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Spartak Kostroma and Nizhny Novgorod on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Nizhny Novgorod travel to Spartak Kostroma on 8 November 2026 at Stadion Urozhay, Karavaevo. Spartak Kostroma are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This matchday 17 fixture in First League is listed as Spartak Kostroma - Nizhny Novgorod. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Spartak Kostroma: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 6 conceded in six matches, 1.33 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 39.8 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +6.
Nizhny Novgorod: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 3 conceded in six matches, 2.0 and 0.5 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 83.2 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +33.
Side by side
| Statistic | Spartak Kostroma | Nizhny Novgorod |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 1st |
| Goal difference | +6 | +33 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLWW | WWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 15 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 6 | 16 / 1 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 4 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.33 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 0.5 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.67 | 3.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 39.8 | 83.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 38% | 36% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Spartak Kostroma 39.8 versus Nizhny Novgorod 83.2, a gap of 43.4, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.60, over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 49%.
- First goal: Leans Spartak Kostroma's way at 46%.
The call
The model does not commit. Spartak Kostroma is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. Nizhny Novgorod's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Spartak Kostroma's way, especially at Stadion Urozhay.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Spartak Kostroma or Nizhny Novgorod?
Spartak Kostroma, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 38% Spartak Kostroma, 26% the draw and 36% Nizhny Novgorod.
When and where is Spartak Kostroma vs Nizhny Novgorod being played?
8 November 2026 at Stadion Urozhay, Karavaevo, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Spartak Kostroma and Nizhny Novgorod met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Spartak Kostroma and Nizhny Novgorod?
Spartak Kostroma have taken 7 points from their last five (LDLWW), Nizhny Novgorod 15 from theirs (WWWWW). Most recently Spartak Kostroma took a 2-3 defeat at home to Volna Nizhegorodskaya and Nizhny Novgorod a 4-0 win at home to Arsenal Tula.
How many goals are expected in Spartak Kostroma vs Nizhny Novgorod?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.60 — 1.40 for Spartak Kostroma and 2.20 for Nizhny Novgorod. It rates over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 49%, so its call is no.