Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik match summary and prediction — First League
Our model makes Torpedo Moskva the pick at 51% for Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Torpedo Moskva host FK Neftekhimik on 7 November 2026 at Arena Khimki, Khimki. Torpedo Moskva are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 51%. This matchday 17 fixture in First League is listed as Torpedo Moskva - FK Neftekhimik. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Torpedo Moskva: they come in on two successive draws, following three wins before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored nine and conceded five, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 58.8 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +15.
FK Neftekhimik: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored four and conceded ten, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 25.1 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -13.
Side by side
| Statistic | Torpedo Moskva | FK Neftekhimik |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 17th |
| Goal difference | +15 | -13 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWWW | LDLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 1 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 5 | 4 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 58.8 | 25.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 51% | 21% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Torpedo Moskva 58.8 versus FK Neftekhimik 25.1, a gap of 33.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 13 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.80, over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams to score at 46%.
- First goal: Leans Torpedo Moskva's way at 57%.
The call
The model tilts to Torpedo Moskva at 51%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Torpedo Moskva's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Torpedo Moskva's way, especially at Arena Khimki.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Torpedo Moskva or FK Neftekhimik?
Torpedo Moskva, with an implied win probability of roughly 51%. The full split is 51% Torpedo Moskva, 28% the draw and 21% FK Neftekhimik.
When and where is Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik being played?
7 November 2026 at Arena Khimki, Khimki, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Torpedo Moskva and FK Neftekhimik met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Torpedo Moskva and FK Neftekhimik?
Torpedo Moskva have taken 11 points from their last five (DDWWW), FK Neftekhimik 1 from theirs (LDLLL). Most recently Torpedo Moskva took a 1-1 draw away at KAMAZ and FK Neftekhimik a 0-2 defeat at home to Ska-khabarovsk.
How many goals are expected in Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.80 — 1.00 for Torpedo Moskva and 0.80 for FK Neftekhimik. It rates over 2.5 goals at 41%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 46%, so its call is no.