Veles vs KAMAZ: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Veles the pick at 44% for Veles vs KAMAZ. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Veles face KAMAZ on 9 November 2026 at Avangard Stadium, Domodedovo. Veles are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This matchday 17 fixture in First League is listed as Veles - KAMAZ. Kick-off is 16:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Veles: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored five and conceded six, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.9 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +1.
KAMAZ: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Across those five they scored ten and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.7 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -8.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Veles | KAMAZ |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 14th |
| Goal difference | +1 | -8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLDWL | DLWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 6 | 10 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 41.9 | 49.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 44% | 30% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Veles 41.9 versus KAMAZ 49.7, a gap of 7.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams to score at 48%.
- First goal: Leans Veles' way at 48%.
The call
The model edges towards Veles at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. KAMAZ's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Veles's way, especially at Avangard Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Veles or KAMAZ?
Veles, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 44% Veles, 27% the draw and 30% KAMAZ.
When and where is Veles vs KAMAZ being played?
9 November 2026 at Avangard Stadium, Domodedovo, kick-off 16:30 UTC.
Have Veles and KAMAZ met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Veles and KAMAZ?
Veles have taken 5 points from their last five (DLDWL), KAMAZ 8 from theirs (DLWDW). Most recently Veles took a 1-1 draw at home to Spartak Kostroma and KAMAZ a 1-1 draw at home to Torpedo Moskva.
How many goals are expected in Veles vs KAMAZ?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 0.60 for Veles and 1.00 for KAMAZ. It rates over 2.5 goals at 41%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 48%, so its call is no.