Chelyabinsk vs Veles: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Chelyabinsk the pick at 50% for Chelyabinsk vs Veles. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Veles travel to Chelyabinsk on 13 November 2026 at Central Stadium, Chelyabinsk. Chelyabinsk are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 50%. This matchday 19 fixture in First League is listed as Chelyabinsk - Veles. Kick-off is 23:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Chelyabinsk: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 9 conceded in eight matches, 1.5 and 1.12 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 54.0 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -4.
Veles: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (4 scored and 7 conceded in six matches, 0.67 and 1.17 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.9 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Chelyabinsk | Veles |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 6th |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLLL | DLDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 7 | 5 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 8 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.5 / 1.12 | 0.67 / 1.17 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.62 | 0.5 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 54.0 | 41.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 50% | 23% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Chelyabinsk 54.0 versus Veles 41.9, a gap of 12.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams to score at 48%.
- First goal: Leans Chelyabinsk's way at 56%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Chelyabinsk at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Chelyabinsk's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Chelyabinsk's way, especially at Central Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Chelyabinsk or Veles?
Chelyabinsk, with an implied win probability of roughly 50%. The full split is 50% Chelyabinsk, 27% the draw and 23% Veles.
When and where is Chelyabinsk vs Veles being played?
13 November 2026 at Central Stadium, Chelyabinsk, kick-off 23:00 UTC.
Have Chelyabinsk and Veles met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Chelyabinsk and Veles?
Chelyabinsk have taken 6 points from their last five (WWLLL), Veles 5 from theirs (DLDWL). Most recently Chelyabinsk took a 2-1 win away at Arsenal Tula and Veles a 1-1 draw at home to Spartak Kostroma.
How many goals are expected in Chelyabinsk vs Veles?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 1.40 for Chelyabinsk and 0.60 for Veles. It rates over 2.5 goals at 41%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 48%, so its call is no.