FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes FC UFA the pick at 42% for FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
FC UFA face Spartak Kostroma on 13 November 2026 at BetBoom Arena, Ufa. FC UFA are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This matchday 19 fixture in First League is listed as FC UFA - Spartak Kostroma. Kick-off is 23:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
FC UFA: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (7 scored and 7 conceded in eight matches, 0.88 and 0.88 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.8 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +2.
Spartak Kostroma: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 10 conceded in seven matches, 1.14 and 1.43 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.8 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +2.
Comparison data
| Statistic | FC UFA | Spartak Kostroma |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 5th |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLWL | LLDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 4 | 6 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 8 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.88 / 0.88 | 1.14 / 1.43 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.12 | 1.43 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 38.8 | 38.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 42% | 28% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 39% and both teams to score at 49%.
- First goal: Leans FC UFA's way at 49%.
The call
The model edges towards FC UFA at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts FC UFA's way, especially at BetBoom Arena.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FC UFA or Spartak Kostroma?
FC UFA, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 42% FC UFA, 30% the draw and 28% Spartak Kostroma.
When and where is FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma being played?
13 November 2026 at BetBoom Arena, Ufa, kick-off 23:00 UTC.
Have FC UFA and Spartak Kostroma met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of FC UFA and Spartak Kostroma?
FC UFA have taken 4 points from their last five (LDLWL), Spartak Kostroma 4 from theirs (LLDLW). Most recently FC UFA took a 1-2 defeat away at Shinnik Yaroslavl and Spartak Kostroma a 0-4 defeat at home to Nizhny Novgorod.
How many goals are expected in FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 1.00 for FC UFA and 1.00 for Spartak Kostroma. It rates over 2.5 goals at 39%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 49%, so its call is no.