Volga Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moskva match summary and prediction — First League
Our model makes Volga Ulyanovsk the pick at 42% for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moskva. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Volga Ulyanovsk face Torpedo Moskva on 13 November 2026 at Trud Stadium, Ulyanovsk. Volga Ulyanovsk are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This matchday 19 fixture in First League is listed as Volga Ulyanovsk - Torpedo Moskva. Kick-off is 23:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Volga Ulyanovsk: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 10 conceded in eight matches, 1.5 and 1.25 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 50.9 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -3.
Torpedo Moskva: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 9 conceded in nine matches, 1.56 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 65.7 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +16.
Side by side
| Statistic | Volga Ulyanovsk | Torpedo Moskva |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | -3 | +16 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDWW | WDDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 5 | 8 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 8 | 9 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.5 / 1.25 | 1.56 / 1.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.5 | 1.89 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 50.9 | 65.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 42% | 29% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Volga Ulyanovsk 50.9 versus Torpedo Moskva 65.7, a gap of 14.7, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 49%.
- First goal: Leans Volga Ulyanovsk's way at 50%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Volga Ulyanovsk at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Volga Ulyanovsk's way, especially at Trud Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Volga Ulyanovsk or Torpedo Moskva?
Volga Ulyanovsk, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 42% Volga Ulyanovsk, 29% the draw and 29% Torpedo Moskva.
When and where is Volga Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moskva being played?
13 November 2026 at Trud Stadium, Ulyanovsk, kick-off 23:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Volga Ulyanovsk and Torpedo Moskva?
Torpedo Moskva 3-1 Volga Ulyanovsk on 19 July 2026.
What is the recent form of Volga Ulyanovsk and Torpedo Moskva?
Volga Ulyanovsk have taken 10 points from their last five (LWDWW), Torpedo Moskva 11 from theirs (WDDWW). Most recently Volga Ulyanovsk took a 0-2 defeat away at Ural and Torpedo Moskva a 1-0 win at home to FK Neftekhimik.
How many goals are expected in Volga Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moskva?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.80 for Volga Ulyanovsk and 1.20 for Torpedo Moskva. It rates over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 49%, so its call is no.