Nantes W vs Strasbourg W: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Nantes W the pick at 45% for Nantes W vs Strasbourg W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Nantes W host Strasbourg W on 24 October 2026 at Stade Marcel Saupin, Nantes. Nantes W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 6 fixture in Feminine Division 1 is listed as Nantes W - Strasbourg W. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Nantes W: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.4 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -1.
Strasbourg W: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored nine and conceded ten, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.1 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of -1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Nantes W | Strasbourg W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 5th |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLDL | WDLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 5 | 9 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 41.4 | 48.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 29% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Nantes W 41.4 versus Strasbourg W 48.1, a gap of 6.7, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Nantes W's way at 54%.
The call
The model tilts to Nantes W at 45%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Nantes W's way, especially at Stade Marcel Saupin.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Nantes W or Strasbourg W?
Nantes W, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Nantes W, 26% the draw and 29% Strasbourg W.
When and where is Nantes W vs Strasbourg W being played?
24 October 2026 at Stade Marcel Saupin, Nantes, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Nantes W and Strasbourg W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Nantes W and Strasbourg W?
Nantes W have taken 5 points from their last five (WDLDL), Strasbourg W 7 from theirs (WDLLW). Most recently Nantes W took a 2-0 win away at Saint-Malo W and Strasbourg W a 3-1 win away at Lens W.
How many goals are expected in Nantes W vs Strasbourg W?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Nantes W and 1.35 for Strasbourg W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.