Montpellier W vs Lyon W — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Lyon W the pick at 52% for Montpellier W vs Lyon W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Montpellier W face Lyon W on 31 October 2026 at Stade Jules Rimet, Montpellier. Lyon W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 52%. This matchday 7 fixture in Feminine Division 1 is listed as Montpellier W - Lyon W. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Montpellier W: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three draws and one defeat before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored two and conceded four, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.5 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +2.
Lyon W: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 20 and conceded no, with five clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 83.2 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +33.
Side by side
| Statistic | Montpellier W | Lyon W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 1st |
| Goal difference | +2 | +33 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDDDL | WWWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 4 | 20 / 0 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 5 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 35.5 | 83.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 18% | 52% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Montpellier W 35.5 versus Lyon W 83.2, a gap of 47.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Lyon W's way at 59%.
The call
The model tilts to Lyon W at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Lyon W's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Montpellier W or Lyon W?
Lyon W, with an implied win probability of roughly 52%. The full split is 18% Montpellier W, 29% the draw and 52% Lyon W.
When and where is Montpellier W vs Lyon W being played?
31 October 2026 at Stade Jules Rimet, Montpellier, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Montpellier W and Lyon W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Montpellier W and Lyon W?
Montpellier W have taken 3 points from their last five (LDDDL), Lyon W 13 from theirs (WWWWD). Most recently Montpellier W took a 0-1 defeat away at Paris Saint Germain W and Lyon W a 6-0 win at home to Inter Milano W.
How many goals are expected in Montpellier W vs Lyon W?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 0.00 for Montpellier W and 3.00 for Lyon W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.