Paris FC W vs Montpellier W match summary and prediction — Feminine Division 1
Our model makes Paris FC W the pick at 56% for Paris FC W vs Montpellier W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Montpellier W travel to Paris FC W on 7 November 2026 at Stade Charlety, Paris. Paris FC W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 56%. This matchday 8 fixture in Feminine Division 1 is listed as Paris FC W - Montpellier W. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Paris FC W: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins before that. That is two wins, two draws and no defeats from the last four, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those four they scored ten and conceded three, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 59.6 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +5.
Montpellier W: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following three draws before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored four and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.8 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Paris FC W | Montpellier W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 8th |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWW | LLDDD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 3 | 4 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 59.6 | 34.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 56% | 19% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Paris FC W 59.6 versus Montpellier W 34.8, a gap of 24.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.80, over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 46%.
- First goal: Leans Paris FC W's way at 62%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Paris FC W at 56%, a gap of 31 percentage points to the next outcome. Paris FC W's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Paris FC W's way, especially at Stade Charlety.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Paris FC W or Montpellier W?
Paris FC W, with an implied win probability of roughly 56%. The full split is 56% Paris FC W, 25% the draw and 19% Montpellier W.
When and where is Paris FC W vs Montpellier W being played?
7 November 2026 at Stade Charlety, Paris, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Paris FC W and Montpellier W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Paris FC W and Montpellier W?
Paris FC W have taken 8 points from their last four (DDWW), Montpellier W 3 from theirs (LLDDD). Most recently Paris FC W took a 1-1 draw at home to Paris Saint Germain W and Montpellier W a 2-5 defeat at home to Lyon W.
How many goals are expected in Paris FC W vs Montpellier W?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.80 — 0.80 for Paris FC W and 1.00 for Montpellier W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 46%, so its call is no.