Marseille W vs Paris Saint Germain W match summary and prediction — Feminine Division 1
There is barely anything between Marseille W and Paris Saint Germain W on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Marseille W host Paris Saint Germain W on 14 November 2026. Marseille W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This matchday 9 fixture in Feminine Division 1 is listed as Marseille W - Paris Saint Germain W. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Marseille W: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Across those five they scored eight and conceded eleven, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 51.4 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of -1.
Paris Saint Germain W: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored seven and conceded six, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 60.3 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +8.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Marseille W | Paris Saint Germain W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -1 | +8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLDD | WDDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 11 | 7 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 51.4 | 60.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 38% | 36% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Marseille W 51.4 versus Paris Saint Germain W 60.3, a gap of 8.9, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.65, over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Marseille W's way at 50%.
The call
The model does not commit. Marseille W is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Marseille W or Paris Saint Germain W?
Marseille W, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 38% Marseille W, 26% the draw and 36% Paris Saint Germain W.
When and where is Marseille W vs Paris Saint Germain W being played?
14 November 2026, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Marseille W and Paris Saint Germain W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Marseille W and Paris Saint Germain W?
Marseille W have taken 8 points from their last five (WWLDD), Paris Saint Germain W 8 from theirs (WDDWL). Most recently Marseille W took a 2-1 win away at Saint-Malo W and Paris Saint Germain W a 4-0 win at home to Le Havre W.
How many goals are expected in Marseille W vs Paris Saint Germain W?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.65 — 1.25 for Marseille W and 2.40 for Paris Saint Germain W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.