FC Fleury 91 W vs Toulouse W: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes FC Fleury 91 W the pick at 54% for FC Fleury 91 W vs Toulouse W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Toulouse W travel to FC Fleury 91 W on 24 October 2026 at Stade Auguste Gentelet, Fleury-Merogis. FC Fleury 91 W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 54%. This matchday 6 fixture in Feminine Division 1 is listed as FC Fleury 91 W - Toulouse W. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
FC Fleury 91 W: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded 13, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.2 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -6.
Toulouse W: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored four and conceded 18, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 24.8 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -14.
Comparison data
| Statistic | FC Fleury 91 W | Toulouse W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 12th |
| Goal difference | -6 | -14 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLWDL | LLDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 13 | 4 / 18 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 40.2 | 24.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 54% | 23% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: FC Fleury 91 W 40.2 versus Toulouse W 24.8, a gap of 15.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.35, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans FC Fleury 91 W's way at 61%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to FC Fleury 91 W at 54%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. FC Fleury 91 W's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts FC Fleury 91 W's way, especially at Stade Auguste Gentelet.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FC Fleury 91 W or Toulouse W?
FC Fleury 91 W, with an implied win probability of roughly 54%. The full split is 54% FC Fleury 91 W, 23% the draw and 23% Toulouse W.
When and where is FC Fleury 91 W vs Toulouse W being played?
24 October 2026 at Stade Auguste Gentelet, Fleury-Merogis, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have FC Fleury 91 W and Toulouse W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of FC Fleury 91 W and Toulouse W?
FC Fleury 91 W have taken 5 points from their last five (DLWDL), Toulouse W 1 from theirs (LLDLL). Most recently FC Fleury 91 W took a 2-2 draw away at Marseille W and Toulouse W a 0-4 defeat at home to Paris FC W.
How many goals are expected in FC Fleury 91 W vs Toulouse W?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.35 — 2.00 for FC Fleury 91 W and 1.35 for Toulouse W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.