Saint-Malo W vs Paris FC W — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Saint-Malo W the pick at 49% for Saint-Malo W vs Paris FC W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Paris FC W travel to Saint-Malo W on 24 October 2026. Saint-Malo W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 49%. This matchday 6 fixture in Feminine Division 1 is listed as Saint-Malo W - Paris FC W. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Saint-Malo W: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one defeat before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored three and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 33.5 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -6.
Paris FC W: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored 14 and conceded eight, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 66.2 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +5.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Saint-Malo W | Paris FC W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -6 | +5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLWL | WWDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 9 | 14 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 33.5 | 66.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 49% | 25% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Saint-Malo W 33.5 versus Paris FC W 66.2, a gap of 32.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.02, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 47%.
- First goal: Leans Saint-Malo W's way at 56%.
The call
The model tilts to Saint-Malo W at 49%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Paris FC W's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Saint-Malo W or Paris FC W?
Saint-Malo W, with an implied win probability of roughly 49%. The full split is 49% Saint-Malo W, 25% the draw and 25% Paris FC W.
When and where is Saint-Malo W vs Paris FC W being played?
24 October 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Saint-Malo W and Paris FC W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Saint-Malo W and Paris FC W?
Saint-Malo W have taken 3 points from their last five (LLLWL), Paris FC W 10 from theirs (WWDLW). Most recently Saint-Malo W took a 0-2 defeat at home to Nantes W and Paris FC W a 4-0 win away at Toulouse W.
How many goals are expected in Saint-Malo W vs Paris FC W?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.02 — 1.35 for Saint-Malo W and 0.67 for Paris FC W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 47%, so its call is no.