Toulouse W vs Saint-Malo W: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Toulouse W the pick at 46% for Toulouse W vs Saint-Malo W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Toulouse W host Saint-Malo W on 31 October 2026 at Stade de la Ramée, Toulouse. Toulouse W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 7 fixture in Feminine Division 1 is listed as Toulouse W - Saint-Malo W. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Toulouse W: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one draw and one defeat before that. That is no wins, one draw and three defeats from the last four, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those four they scored three and conceded 13, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 24.8 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -14.
Saint-Malo W: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win before that. That is one win, no draws and three defeats from the last four, worth 3 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those four they scored one and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 33.5 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -6.
Side by side
| Statistic | Toulouse W | Saint-Malo W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 10th |
| Goal difference | -14 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDL | LLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 13 | 1 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 24.8 | 33.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 29% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Toulouse W 24.8 versus Saint-Malo W 33.5, a gap of 8.7, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Toulouse W's way at 55%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Toulouse W at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Toulouse W's way, especially at Stade de la Ramée.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Toulouse W or Saint-Malo W?
Toulouse W, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Toulouse W, 26% the draw and 29% Saint-Malo W.
When and where is Toulouse W vs Saint-Malo W being played?
31 October 2026 at Stade de la Ramée, Toulouse, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Toulouse W and Saint-Malo W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Toulouse W and Saint-Malo W?
Toulouse W have taken 1 points from their last four (LLDL), Saint-Malo W 3 from theirs (LLLW). Most recently Toulouse W took a 0-4 defeat at home to Paris FC W and Saint-Malo W a 0-2 defeat at home to Nantes W.
How many goals are expected in Toulouse W vs Saint-Malo W?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Toulouse W and 1.35 for Saint-Malo W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.