Nantes W vs Toulouse W — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Nantes W the pick at 48% for Nantes W vs Toulouse W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Nantes W face Toulouse W on 7 November 2026 at Stade Marcel Saupin, Nantes. Nantes W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This matchday 8 fixture in Feminine Division 1 is listed as Nantes W - Toulouse W. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Nantes W: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.1 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of -1.
Toulouse W: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and two defeats from the last four, worth 4 points. Across those four they scored five and conceded twelve, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.3 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -12.
Side by side
| Statistic | Nantes W | Toulouse W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 10th |
| Goal difference | -1 | -12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWDL | WLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 5 | 5 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.1 | 35.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 27% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Nantes W 48.1 versus Toulouse W 35.3, a gap of 12.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.50, over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams to score at 41%.
- First goal: Leans Nantes W's way at 50%.
The call
The model tilts to Nantes W at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Nantes W's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Nantes W's way, especially at Stade Marcel Saupin.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Nantes W or Toulouse W?
Nantes W, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Nantes W, 25% the draw and 27% Toulouse W.
When and where is Nantes W vs Toulouse W being played?
7 November 2026 at Stade Marcel Saupin, Nantes, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Nantes W and Toulouse W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Nantes W and Toulouse W?
Nantes W have taken 7 points from their last five (LWWDL), Toulouse W 4 from theirs (WLLD). Most recently Nantes W took a 0-1 defeat away at Marseille W and Toulouse W a 3-1 win at home to Saint-Malo W.
How many goals are expected in Nantes W vs Toulouse W?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.50 — 1.50 for Nantes W and 3.00 for Toulouse W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 38%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 41%, so its call is no.