Saint-Malo W vs Marseille W — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Marseille W the pick at 39% for Saint-Malo W vs Marseille W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Saint-Malo W face Marseille W on 7 November 2026. Marseille W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This matchday 8 fixture in Feminine Division 1 is listed as Saint-Malo W - Marseille W. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Saint-Malo W: they come in on four defeats in a row. That is no wins, no draws and four defeats from the last four, worth 0 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those four they scored one and conceded nine, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 33.0 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -8.
Marseille W: they come in on the back of a win, following three draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded ten, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.5 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of -2.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Saint-Malo W | Marseille W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 4th |
| Goal difference | -8 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLL | WLDDD |
| Points from last 5 | 0 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 1 / 9 | 6 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 33.0 | 44.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 30% | 39% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Saint-Malo W 33.0 versus Marseille W 44.5, a gap of 11.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans Saint-Malo W's way at 46%.
The call
The model edges towards Marseille W at 39%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Marseille W's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Saint-Malo W or Marseille W?
Marseille W, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 30% Saint-Malo W, 31% the draw and 39% Marseille W.
When and where is Saint-Malo W vs Marseille W being played?
7 November 2026, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Saint-Malo W and Marseille W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Saint-Malo W and Marseille W?
Saint-Malo W have taken 0 points from their last four (LLLL), Marseille W 6 from theirs (WLDDD). Most recently Saint-Malo W took a 1-3 defeat away at Toulouse W and Marseille W a 1-0 win at home to Nantes W.
How many goals are expected in Saint-Malo W vs Marseille W?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 1.00 for Saint-Malo W and 1.00 for Marseille W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is no.