Lyon W vs Saint-Malo W — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Lyon W the pick at 85% for Lyon W vs Saint-Malo W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Saint-Malo W travel to Lyon W on 14 November 2026 at Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon. Lyon W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 85%. This matchday 9 fixture in Feminine Division 1 is listed as Lyon W - Saint-Malo W. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Lyon W: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 27 and conceded three, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 85.5 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +42.
Saint-Malo W: they come in on four defeats in a row. That is no wins, no draws and four defeats from the last four, worth 0 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those four they scored two and conceded nine, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 22.8 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -9.
Side by side
| Statistic | Lyon W | Saint-Malo W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 11th |
| Goal difference | +42 | -9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWW | LLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 15 | 0 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 27 / 3 | 2 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 85.5 | 22.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 85% | 4% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Lyon W 85.5 versus Saint-Malo W 22.8, a gap of 62.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 5.60, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans Lyon W's way at 81%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Lyon W at 85%, a gap of 73 percentage points to the next outcome. Lyon W's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Lyon W's way, especially at Parc Olympique Lyonnais.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Lyon W or Saint-Malo W?
Lyon W, with an implied win probability of roughly 85%. The full split is 85% Lyon W, 11% the draw and 4% Saint-Malo W.
When and where is Lyon W vs Saint-Malo W being played?
14 November 2026 at Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Lyon W and Saint-Malo W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Lyon W and Saint-Malo W?
Lyon W have taken 15 points from their last five (WWWWW), Saint-Malo W 0 from theirs (LLLL). Most recently Lyon W took a 7-1 win away at Lens W and Saint-Malo W a 1-2 defeat at home to Marseille W.
How many goals are expected in Lyon W vs Saint-Malo W?
The model's combined scoring line is 5.60 — 4.60 for Lyon W and 1.00 for Saint-Malo W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is no.