Strasbourg W vs Toulouse W: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Strasbourg W the pick at 49% for Strasbourg W vs Toulouse W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Strasbourg W face Toulouse W on 14 November 2026 at Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg. Strasbourg W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 49%. This matchday 9 fixture in Feminine Division 1 is listed as Strasbourg W - Toulouse W. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Strasbourg W: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored nine and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.9 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -3.
Toulouse W: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded 13, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.7 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -12.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Strasbourg W | Toulouse W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 10th |
| Goal difference | -3 | -12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLWD | DWLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 9 | 6 / 13 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 40.9 | 38.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 49% | 23% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Strasbourg W 40.9 versus Toulouse W 38.7, a gap of 2.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 47%.
- First goal: Leans Strasbourg W's way at 59%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Strasbourg W at 49%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Toulouse W's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Strasbourg W's way, especially at Stade de la Meinau.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Strasbourg W or Toulouse W?
Strasbourg W, with an implied win probability of roughly 49%. The full split is 49% Strasbourg W, 28% the draw and 23% Toulouse W.
When and where is Strasbourg W vs Toulouse W being played?
14 November 2026 at Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Strasbourg W and Toulouse W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Strasbourg W and Toulouse W?
Strasbourg W have taken 5 points from their last five (LDLWD), Toulouse W 5 from theirs (DWLLD). Most recently Strasbourg W took a 1-2 defeat away at FC Fleury 91 W and Toulouse W a 1-1 draw away at Nantes W.
How many goals are expected in Strasbourg W vs Toulouse W?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.00 for Strasbourg W and 2.00 for Toulouse W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 47%, so its call is no.