Hansa Rostock vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Hansa Rostock the pick at 53% for Hansa Rostock vs Fortuna Düsseldorf. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Hansa Rostock face Fortuna Düsseldorf on 24 October 2026 at Ostseestadion, Rostock. Hansa Rostock are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 53%. This matchday 11 fixture in 3. Liga is listed as Hansa Rostock - Fortuna Düsseldorf. Kick-off is 12:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Hansa Rostock: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (41 scored and 28 conceded in 17 matches, 2.41 and 1.65 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.8 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of -2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 26 conceded in 16 matches, 1.06 and 1.62 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.8 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -2.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Hansa Rostock | Fortuna Düsseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 10th |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWDW | LWDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 7 | 7 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 16 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 2.41 / 1.65 | 1.06 / 1.62 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.88 | 1.06 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 47.8 | 47.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 53% | 24% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Hansa Rostock's way at 57%.
The call
The model tilts to Hansa Rostock at 53%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Fortuna Düsseldorf's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Hansa Rostock's way, especially at Ostseestadion.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Hansa Rostock or Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Hansa Rostock, with an implied win probability of roughly 53%. The full split is 53% Hansa Rostock, 22% the draw and 24% Fortuna Düsseldorf.
When and where is Hansa Rostock vs Fortuna Düsseldorf being played?
24 October 2026 at Ostseestadion, Rostock, kick-off 12:00 UTC.
Have Hansa Rostock and Fortuna Düsseldorf met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Hansa Rostock and Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Hansa Rostock have taken 7 points from their last five (LLWDW), Fortuna Düsseldorf 7 from theirs (LWDLW). Most recently Hansa Rostock took a 0-2 defeat away at Alemannia Aachen and Fortuna Düsseldorf a 1-3 defeat at home to FC Saarbrücken.
How many goals are expected in Hansa Rostock vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.60 for Hansa Rostock and 1.20 for Fortuna Düsseldorf. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.