FC Viktoria Köln vs Verl — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes FC Viktoria Köln the pick at 45% for FC Viktoria Köln vs Verl. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
FC Viktoria Köln face Verl on 24 October 2026 at Sportpark Höhenberg, Cologne. FC Viktoria Köln are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 11 fixture in 3. Liga is listed as FC Viktoria Köln - Verl. Kick-off is 12:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
FC Viktoria Köln: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 25 conceded in 18 matches, 1.11 and 1.39 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 64.9 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +13.
Verl: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (33 scored and 20 conceded in 18 matches, 1.83 and 1.11 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.0 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -4.
Side by side
| Statistic | FC Viktoria Köln | Verl |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 14th |
| Goal difference | +13 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWDW | LDDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 13 / 7 | 7 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 18 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.11 / 1.39 | 1.83 / 1.11 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.22 | 1.44 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 64.9 | 44.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 32% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: FC Viktoria Köln 64.9 versus Verl 44.0, a gap of 20.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans FC Viktoria Köln's way at 53%.
The call
The model edges towards FC Viktoria Köln at 45%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. FC Viktoria Köln's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts FC Viktoria Köln's way, especially at Sportpark Höhenberg.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FC Viktoria Köln or Verl?
FC Viktoria Köln, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% FC Viktoria Köln, 24% the draw and 32% Verl.
When and where is FC Viktoria Köln vs Verl being played?
24 October 2026 at Sportpark Höhenberg, Cologne, kick-off 12:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between FC Viktoria Köln and Verl?
Verl 2-0 FC Viktoria Köln on 18 April 2026.
What is the recent form of FC Viktoria Köln and Verl?
FC Viktoria Köln have taken 9 points from their last five (DDWDW), Verl 5 from theirs (LDDLW). Most recently FC Viktoria Köln took a 1-1 draw away at MSV Duisburg and Verl a 1-2 defeat away at Hoffenheim II.
How many goals are expected in FC Viktoria Köln vs Verl?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 2.00 for FC Viktoria Köln and 1.20 for Verl. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.