MSV Duisburg vs Stuttgart II: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes MSV Duisburg the pick at 56% for MSV Duisburg vs Stuttgart II. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
MSV Duisburg face Stuttgart II on 31 October 2026 at MSV-Arena, Duisburg. MSV Duisburg are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 56%. This matchday 12 fixture in 3. Liga is listed as MSV Duisburg - Stuttgart II. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
MSV Duisburg: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (29 scored and 26 conceded in 17 matches, 1.71 and 1.53 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 61.8 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +14.
Stuttgart II: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (31 scored and 39 conceded in 18 matches, 1.72 and 2.17 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 51.2 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -2.
Comparison data
| Statistic | MSV Duisburg | Stuttgart II |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 14th |
| Goal difference | +14 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWWW | LWWDD |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 13 / 8 | 9 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.71 / 1.53 | 1.72 / 2.17 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.76 | 0.94 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 61.8 | 51.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 56% | 21% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: MSV Duisburg 61.8 versus Stuttgart II 51.2, a gap of 10.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 13 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans MSV Duisburg's way at 61%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards MSV Duisburg at 56%, a gap of 33 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts MSV Duisburg's way, especially at MSV-Arena.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: MSV Duisburg or Stuttgart II?
MSV Duisburg, with an implied win probability of roughly 56%. The full split is 56% MSV Duisburg, 23% the draw and 21% Stuttgart II.
When and where is MSV Duisburg vs Stuttgart II being played?
31 October 2026 at MSV-Arena, Duisburg, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have MSV Duisburg and Stuttgart II met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of MSV Duisburg and Stuttgart II?
MSV Duisburg have taken 10 points from their last five (LDWWW), Stuttgart II 8 from theirs (LWWDD). Most recently MSV Duisburg took a 1-2 defeat away at FC Ingolstadt 04 and Stuttgart II a 1-2 defeat at home to Alemannia Aachen.
How many goals are expected in MSV Duisburg vs Stuttgart II?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 1.40 for MSV Duisburg and 2.00 for Stuttgart II. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.