Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf the pick at 53% for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
SV Meppen travel to Fortuna Düsseldorf on 30 October 2026 at Merkur Spiel-Arena. Fortuna Düsseldorf are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 53%. This matchday 12 fixture in 3. Liga is listed as Fortuna Düsseldorf - SV Meppen. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Fortuna Düsseldorf: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (7 scored and 8 conceded in six matches, 1.17 and 1.33 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.2 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -2.
SV Meppen: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 15 conceded in six matches, 1.33 and 2.5 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 51.4 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Fortuna Düsseldorf | SV Meppen |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 13th |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLWDL | WDWDL |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 8 | 8 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.17 / 1.33 | 1.33 / 2.5 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 41.2 | 51.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 53% | 24% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Fortuna Düsseldorf 41.2 versus SV Meppen 51.4, a gap of 10.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Fortuna Düsseldorf's way at 60%.
The call
The model tilts to Fortuna Düsseldorf at 53%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Fortuna Düsseldorf's way, especially at Merkur Spiel-Arena.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Fortuna Düsseldorf or SV Meppen?
Fortuna Düsseldorf, with an implied win probability of roughly 53%. The full split is 53% Fortuna Düsseldorf, 23% the draw and 24% SV Meppen.
When and where is Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen being played?
30 October 2026 at Merkur Spiel-Arena, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
Have Fortuna Düsseldorf and SV Meppen met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Fortuna Düsseldorf and SV Meppen?
Fortuna Düsseldorf have taken 5 points from their last five (DLWDL), SV Meppen 8 from theirs (WDWDL). Most recently Fortuna Düsseldorf took a 1-1 draw away at Hansa Rostock and SV Meppen a 4-0 win at home to Würzburger Kickers.
How many goals are expected in Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.20 for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 1.60 for SV Meppen. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.