Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Fortuna Köln the pick at 44% for Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Würzburger Kickers travel to Fortuna Köln on 31 October 2026 at Südstadion, Cologne. Fortuna Köln are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This matchday 12 fixture in 3. Liga is listed as Fortuna Köln - Würzburger Kickers. Kick-off is 15:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Fortuna Köln: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one draw before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored three and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.3 out of 100, and they sit 19th on a goal difference of -4.
Würzburger Kickers: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded eleven, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.3 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -8.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Fortuna Köln | Würzburger Kickers |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 19th | 17th |
| Goal difference | -4 | -8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLDW | LWDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 5 | 5 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 37.3 | 36.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 44% | 31% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Fortuna Köln 37.3 versus Würzburger Kickers 36.3, a gap of 1.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.70, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Fortuna Köln's way at 53%.
The call
The model edges towards Fortuna Köln at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Fortuna Köln's way, especially at Südstadion.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Fortuna Köln or Würzburger Kickers?
Fortuna Köln, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 44% Fortuna Köln, 25% the draw and 31% Würzburger Kickers.
When and where is Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers being played?
31 October 2026 at Südstadion, Cologne, kick-off 15:30 UTC.
Have Fortuna Köln and Würzburger Kickers met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Fortuna Köln and Würzburger Kickers?
Fortuna Köln have taken 4 points from their last five (LLLDW), Würzburger Kickers 4 from theirs (LWDLL). Most recently Fortuna Köln took a 0-1 defeat away at Preußen Münster and Würzburger Kickers a 0-4 defeat away at SV Meppen.
How many goals are expected in Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.70 — 0.50 for Fortuna Köln and 1.20 for Würzburger Kickers. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.