SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen match summary and prediction — 3. Liga
Our model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the pick at 45% for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach face Rot-Weiß Essen on 1 November 2026 at comtech Arena, Aspache. Rot-Weiß Essen are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 12 fixture in 3. Liga is listed as SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach - Rot-Weiß Essen. Kick-off is 15:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 16 conceded in seven matches, 1.57 and 2.29 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.3 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -12.
Rot-Weiß Essen: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 10 conceded in six matches, 1.83 and 1.67 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 53.2 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +6.
Side by side
| Statistic | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | Rot-Weiß Essen |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | -12 | +6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWDL | LWLWD |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 20 | 7 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.57 / 2.29 | 1.83 / 1.67 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.57 | 1.5 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 35.3 | 53.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 31% | 45% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 35.3 versus Rot-Weiß Essen 53.2, a gap of 17.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 13 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.60, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Rot-Weiß Essen's way at 52%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Rot-Weiß Essen at 45%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Rot-Weiß Essen's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach or Rot-Weiß Essen?
Rot-Weiß Essen, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 31% SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, 24% the draw and 45% Rot-Weiß Essen.
When and where is SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen being played?
1 November 2026 at comtech Arena, Aspache, kick-off 15:30 UTC.
Have SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and Rot-Weiß Essen met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and Rot-Weiß Essen?
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach have taken 4 points from their last five (LLWDL), Rot-Weiß Essen 7 from theirs (LWLWD). Most recently SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach took a 2-4 defeat at home to FC Augsburg and Rot-Weiß Essen a 1-2 defeat at home to RB Leipzig.
How many goals are expected in SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.60 — 1.80 for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and 1.80 for Rot-Weiß Essen. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.