FC Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes FC Saarbrücken the pick at 57% for FC Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
FC Saarbrücken face Waldhof Mannheim on 1 November 2026 at Ludwigspark-Stadion, Saarbrücken. FC Saarbrücken are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 57%. This matchday 12 fixture in 3. Liga is listed as FC Saarbrücken - Waldhof Mannheim. Kick-off is 12:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
FC Saarbrücken: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 23 conceded in 17 matches, 1.12 and 1.35 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.8 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +6.
Waldhof Mannheim: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 34 conceded in 16 matches, 1.38 and 2.12 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.8 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | FC Saarbrücken | Waldhof Mannheim |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 7th |
| Goal difference | +6 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLDW | WLLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 9 | 9 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 16 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.12 / 1.35 | 1.38 / 2.12 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.18 | 1.19 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.8 | 55.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 57% | 24% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: FC Saarbrücken 49.8 versus Waldhof Mannheim 55.8, a gap of 5.9, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.80, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans FC Saarbrücken's way at 59%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards FC Saarbrücken at 57%, a gap of 33 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts FC Saarbrücken's way, especially at Ludwigspark-Stadion.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FC Saarbrücken or Waldhof Mannheim?
FC Saarbrücken, with an implied win probability of roughly 57%. The full split is 57% FC Saarbrücken, 20% the draw and 24% Waldhof Mannheim.
When and where is FC Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim being played?
1 November 2026 at Ludwigspark-Stadion, Saarbrücken, kick-off 12:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between FC Saarbrücken and Waldhof Mannheim?
FC Saarbrücken 2-0 Waldhof Mannheim on 02 May 2026.
What is the recent form of FC Saarbrücken and Waldhof Mannheim?
FC Saarbrücken have taken 7 points from their last five (LWLDW), Waldhof Mannheim 6 from theirs (WLLWL). Most recently FC Saarbrücken took a 2-3 defeat away at Havelse and Waldhof Mannheim a 4-1 win at home to Hoffenheim II.
How many goals are expected in FC Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.80 — 3.20 for FC Saarbrücken and 1.60 for Waldhof Mannheim. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.