Havelse vs FC Ingolstadt 04 — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Havelse the pick at 43% for Havelse vs FC Ingolstadt 04. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Havelse face FC Ingolstadt 04 on 31 October 2026 at Eilenriedestadion, Hannover. Havelse are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This matchday 12 fixture in 3. Liga is listed as Havelse - FC Ingolstadt 04. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Havelse: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 49 conceded in 18 matches, 1.56 and 2.72 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 39.4 out of 100, and they sit 20th on a goal difference of -9.
FC Ingolstadt 04: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (29 scored and 25 conceded in 17 matches, 1.71 and 1.47 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 54.8 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of -1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Havelse | FC Ingolstadt 04 |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 20th | 6th |
| Goal difference | -9 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDDLL | WWWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 14 | 9 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 18 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.56 / 2.72 | 1.71 / 1.47 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.06 | 1.35 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 39.4 | 54.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 43% | 32% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Havelse 39.4 versus FC Ingolstadt 04 54.8, a gap of 15.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: 14 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Havelse's way at 51%.
The call
The model edges towards Havelse at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Havelse's way, especially at Eilenriedestadion.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Havelse or FC Ingolstadt 04?
Havelse, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 43% Havelse, 25% the draw and 32% FC Ingolstadt 04.
When and where is Havelse vs FC Ingolstadt 04 being played?
31 October 2026 at Eilenriedestadion, Hannover, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Havelse and FC Ingolstadt 04?
FC Ingolstadt 04 3-2 Havelse on 21 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Havelse and FC Ingolstadt 04?
Havelse have taken 5 points from their last five (WDDLL), FC Ingolstadt 04 9 from theirs (WWWLL). Most recently Havelse took a 3-2 win at home to FC Saarbrücken and FC Ingolstadt 04 a 2-1 win at home to MSV Duisburg.
How many goals are expected in Havelse vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.60 for Havelse and 1.20 for FC Ingolstadt 04. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.