Verl vs SV Wehen: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Verl the pick at 49% for Verl vs SV Wehen. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
SV Wehen travel to Verl on 31 October 2026 at Stadion an der Poststraße, Verl. Verl are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 49%. This matchday 12 fixture in 3. Liga is listed as Verl - SV Wehen. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Verl: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two draws and one defeat before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (33 scored and 20 conceded in 18 matches, 1.83 and 1.11 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.2 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -6.
SV Wehen: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (29 scored and 32 conceded in 19 matches, 1.53 and 1.68 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 59.1 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Verl | SV Wehen |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 11th |
| Goal difference | -6 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDDL | WDWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 11 | 15 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 18 | 19 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.83 / 1.11 | 1.53 / 1.68 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.44 | 1.16 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 40.2 | 59.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 49% | 24% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Verl 40.2 versus SV Wehen 59.1, a gap of 18.9, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Verl's way at 55%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Verl at 49%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. SV Wehen's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Verl's way, especially at Stadion an der Poststraße.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Verl or SV Wehen?
Verl, with an implied win probability of roughly 49%. The full split is 49% Verl, 28% the draw and 24% SV Wehen.
When and where is Verl vs SV Wehen being played?
31 October 2026 at Stadion an der Poststraße, Verl, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Verl and SV Wehen?
SV Wehen 2-1 Verl on 25 January 2026.
What is the recent form of Verl and SV Wehen?
Verl have taken 2 points from their last five (LLDDL), SV Wehen 10 from theirs (WDWWL). Most recently Verl took a 1-3 defeat away at FC Viktoria Köln and SV Wehen a 7-1 win at home to SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach.
How many goals are expected in Verl vs SV Wehen?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.20 for Verl and 1.80 for SV Wehen. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.