Hansa Rostock vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Hansa Rostock the pick at 67% for Hansa Rostock vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Hansa Rostock host SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach on 7 November 2026 at Ostseestadion, Rostock. Hansa Rostock are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 67%. This matchday 13 fixture in 3. Liga is listed as Hansa Rostock - SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Hansa Rostock: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (6 scored and 12 conceded in six matches, 1.0 and 2.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.6 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -3.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one draw before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 17 conceded in eight matches, 1.38 and 2.12 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.1 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -13.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Hansa Rostock | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 18th |
| Goal difference | -3 | -13 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLLW | LLLWD |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 7 | 8 / 16 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 8 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.0 / 2.0 | 1.38 / 2.12 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.83 | 1.38 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 37.6 | 35.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 67% | 15% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Hansa Rostock 37.6 versus SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 35.1, a gap of 2.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Hansa Rostock's way at 67%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Hansa Rostock at 67%, a gap of 49 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Hansa Rostock's way, especially at Ostseestadion.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Hansa Rostock or SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach?
Hansa Rostock, with an implied win probability of roughly 67%. The full split is 67% Hansa Rostock, 18% the draw and 15% SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach.
When and where is Hansa Rostock vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach being played?
7 November 2026 at Ostseestadion, Rostock, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Hansa Rostock and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Hansa Rostock and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach?
Hansa Rostock have taken 4 points from their last five (LDLLW), SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 4 from theirs (LLLWD). Most recently Hansa Rostock took a 1-2 defeat away at SSV Jahn Regensburg and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach a 0-1 defeat at home to Rot-Weiß Essen.
How many goals are expected in Hansa Rostock vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 0.60 for Hansa Rostock and 1.40 for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.